Oct. 13, 2013

Are US Investors Trying to Tell GA Something?

Time will ultimately confirm or deny the recent rumors that the Chinese will become the controlling investor in another venerable American manufacturer of general aviation aircraft. Looking at this possibility from another vantage point … is the US business community trying to tell the general aviation industry something by their lack of interest and financial participation?

Their action, or lack of it, speaks volumes. Given the pragmatic bottom-line focus of business and those who invest in them, clearly American investors see little or no return in GA. Ruminating on why this may be offers several possibilities that pose questions about the industry itself, and about the changing focus of American business.

On the industry side there is supply and demand: Interest in flying and aircraft ownership has been in decline for some time. Part of this is surely the result of social change and the willingness of each succeeding generation of Americans to invest the time and money to participate in what captures their attention and interest. An iPhone is easier to master—and is more useful—than learning to fly. GA is not the only one suffering here: today fewer American teenagers get a driver’s license.

Some may say that the lack of new designs are behind this, but that is surely not a major factor because American investors have sold their interest in manufacturers of new technically-advanced GA aircraft to foreign interests as well. From the perspective of younger generations, flying has been around for more than a century, and like anything old, must-have coolness has lost its addictive properties.

There has been a similar change on the business side of the equation as well. There is no better proof that what matters most is making money, not things, is the American obsession with the various stock exchange numbers. If you doubt this, why are these numbers, and their waxing and waning, a daily report by news organizations in all mediums?

Perhaps the most important question is this: What do the Chinese who are investing in American aviation companies know that US investors don’t?  Are we missing—or have we forgotten—something important? Or are the Chinese, whose economy has been playing catch up, at the stage we long ago passed where making things is important? Like the rumors of their investment in another US GA manufacturer, time will provide the answer. — Scott Spangler, Editor